Esports One Fantasy Finals: Safety in Fnatic & FlyQuest; high-risk/high-reward in the rest

 

Important Playoff Updates:

 

  • Lineups lock this SATURDAY @ 8 AM PT
  • The winners of the Lower Bracket games move on for a second series in the Finals, this is called the Second Dinner schedule.
  • To account for the Best of 5 Series', we take the 3 highest game scores for each player for their fantasy scores on the week

See Playoff Rules & Scoring for all changes: https://esportsone.com/blog/summer-2020-playoffs-format-scoring/

 


 

In order to win big in E1 Fantasy, you want to find VALUE! I’m not just talking about getting your money back, I’m talking about getting what you paid for AND some more. What is value? Well in a perfect world, the highest-priced player at a position would score the most points and so on down; they would all provide value based on their price.

We don’t want to be average though, we want more. So we are looking for the players who will score much higher than their price suggests, returning extra value. In order to help you find these value players, we provided two options at each of the six lineup spots.

 

Top

 

Gabriël "Bwipo" Rau — Fnatic — $190,000 (vs. winner of Rogue/G2 Esports)

 

This feels awful. My list for reasons NOT to pick Bwipo is much longer than my reasons to pick him. That being said, he is the cheapest non-Support player and just defeated the team I expect him to match up against this week. His real value, putting him in my lineup instantly lets me do whatever I want at all five other positions. Money talks!

 

Colin "Solo" Earnest — FlyQuest — $250,000 (vs. winner of Team Liquid/TSM)

 

If it weren't for Solo uncharacteristically having a super low KP in 2 wins (sub-50% in both), he would have easily led the position.

 

The most amazing thing with Solo, though, he is averaging 16.8 PTS per game in playoff losses. More than Bwipo or Finn averaged altogether. This doesn't help me feel better about my Bwipo pick...

 

Jungle

 

Kacper "Inspired" Słoma — Rogue — $230,000 (vs. G2 Esports; Fnatic if win against G2 Esports)

 

By far, Inspired was my biggest winner from last week. We saw Rogue drastically change their playstyle, resulting in Inspired being a carry and having more 4+ Kill games in a single series than he did all regular season. Stats like that usually describe a fluke performance, but this clear change in strategy makes me believe.

 

Mads "Broxah" Brock-Pedersen — Team Liquid — $280,000 (vs. TSM; FlyQuest if win against TSM)

 

Nothing sexy here, as this is more of a schedule play more than anything. Broxah had a solid showing last week, and even though he didn't play the Champion in an overly impressive fashion, it was nice to see him given Hecarim. In his 2 regular-season matches against TSM, he finished with a combined 5/0/15 line. Now add a second series against FLY to that total, and you should feel very comfortable in your return.

 

Mid

 

Tim "Nemesis" Lipovšek  — Fnatic — $280,000 (vs. winner of Rogue/G2 Esports)

 

Something has to give with Nemesis. He is 2nd of all LEC players in DMG% (27%, only behind Larssen) however, he has the 3rd lowest KP of any LEC player. His price makes for an enticing risk, but you need to see him with more Lucian and Orianna, as he is a combined 5-0 on those Champs in the playoffs.

 

Tristan "PowerOfEvil" Schrage — FlyQuest — $310,000 (vs. winner of Team Liquid/TSM)

 

Do people not realize that FLY can actually just go ahead and win the entire LCS? If/when that happens, it will be POE leading the way, just as he has done all season. POE is tied for 1st in KP among all remaining players. Want to hear a crazy stat? In playoffs, POE is averaging 20.4 points per game… IN LOSSES! In a week where it is very tough to pick winners, a floor like this is a dream come true.

 

Bot

 

Luka "Perkz" Perković — G2 Esports — $320,000 (vs. Rogue; Fnatic if win against Rogue)

 

The Playoffs Buff is a real thing. Even though they lost last week, Perkz has still been fantasy gold. He increased his KP from the regular season, currently 3rd among all LEC players in playoffs, and is always a threat to lead the position. With the Second Dinner schedule backing him up, Perkz should take advantage of 2 very bloody series.

 

Jason "WildTurtle" Tran — FlyQuest — $300,000 (vs. winner of Team Liquid/TSM)

 

It doesn't get any safer than WildTurtle. He really isn't that exciting, as he just consistently produces. Even though POE can be expected to lead the team in Kills, WildTurtle still benefits as he has the highest KP of any remaining ADC.

 

Support

 

Zdravets "Hylissang" Iliev Galabov — Fnatic — $110,000 (vs. winner of Rogue/G2 Esports)

 

You are seriously making me say nice things about Bwipo AND Hylissang in the same article…? Okay, well, there are two types of Hylissang. The 'losing the game' Hylissang that goes negative twice in their series to G2, which seems to be the one people remember more. However, there is a 'KP > 60% in a Win' Hylissang, and that one scores over 20 points in every game. Pick what one you want!

 

Mihael "Mikyx" Mehle — G2 Esports — $130,000 (vs. Rogue; Fnatic if win against Rogue)

 

I don't think it is controversial to say that G2, TL, and FLY are the teams most likely to win a series this week, and we all know I want my Support to come from a winning team. Well, Mikyx is the cheapest Support out of the favorites. He topped 50 in a losing effort last week, so I'm hoping for a bigger total as he has two series to get there.

 

Team

 

FlyQuest — $260,000 (vs. winner of Team Liquid/TSM)

 

The best team in the LCS only costs $260k?? Even if you think that TL will come back up and win round 2 against FLY (which I don't blame you for thinking), that series will definitely go 5 games, which means that you still get 2 wins from the FLY team. There are also the chances that they go ahead and win the whole dang thing. Safe and upside!

 

Fnatic — $240,000 (vs. winner of Rogue/G2 Esports)

 

FNC is the 4th most expensive team, as they are behind the team they just defeated in G2. You want wins at this position, but FNC is in a similar spot to FLY as you can feel confident they are guaranteed to win at least a couple of games, if not all 3.

 


 

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